NCAA Picks

This is an experiment to see which prediction source accumulates the most points using a standard scoring system.

The highest possible score is 1,920 points. Each of the 6 rounds has a max possible score of 320 points.

There are three groups of test subjects:

Predictions generated by automated algorithms, predictions generated by experts, and predictions generated by guessing.

 Source 2017 2018 2019 2020  2021 
538 960 780  960    
Poologic-LRMCP  1140  1120  930    
Poologic-Original  1090  1080  960    
Poologic-Sagarin  1120  1070  940    
Poologic- Vegas 1410  1080  650    
Power Rank  940  1110  1250    
BetLab  940  780      
Jay Bilas  1130  640  730    
Neil Greenberg  1390  410  880    
Jay Williams     760    
Howard Megdal  660       
KenPom  1080  1100   1260    
Dick Vitale - 590      
ESPN Auto Generated 650 810  1250    
Bing Predicts 820 670  720    
Public Consensus      770    
Karnik Spreadsheet - 510  1190    
Pure Guessing/Jessicca 600 1030  390    
3 Point Percentage     1210    
Seth Greenberg     900    
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